Doctors for Disaster Preparedness

I hope you are able to afford travel, good meals, and warm indoor temperatures over the Christmas holiday.

Such joys may soon be too expensive for most—in large part from regulations to “fight climate change.”

The climate change hypothesis depends on the statement that atmospheric CO₂ levels, as measured at Mauna Loa, are constantly increasing, whereas they fluctuated around 280 ppm from 1800 until around 1957. However, more than 90,000 direct measurements of CO₂ by textbook chemical methods, described in 380 technical publications, were made between 1812 and 1961. Maxima occurred around 1825, 1857, and 1942, as shown in the graph, with 1942 being around 400 ppm.

As Ernst-Georg Beck wrote in 2007, these early direct measurements have been criticized, except for the ones that agree with the climate-change narrative, and the IPCC now relies exclusively on indirect measures from air trapped in ice cores for values prior to 1957. From his detailed analyses, Beck concludes that: “It is indeed surprising that the quality and accuracy of these historic CO₂ measurements has escaped the attention of other researchers.”

Beck observes that the close relationship between CO₂ and temperature is consistent with a cause-effect relationship, but does not indicate which is the cause and which the effect. Ice-core data showing that changes in temperature precede the change in CO₂ concentration argues that temperature forcing controls the CO₂.

The climate-change Grinch aims to control everything, not just Christmas.

Additional information:

• UK Met Office to ditch actual temperature measurements for model predictions.
• NOAA using fabricated temperature data from “ghost stations” closed years ago.
• Ice-core data shows temperatures 2.5 °C warmer in Viking age, 4,000 years ago.

Even if the earth is not the hottest ever, should we not worry about the recent rate of change? Should we not follow the agreement from the Conference of Parties for the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), COP 28?

For a longer-term perspective, see the graph below:

We can see that increases this rapid and sharp occurred long before humanity existed, and that they generally did not continue. Nor is there evidence that current warming has been harmful. Fewer people die from excess warmth than from excess cold, plants grow better when they are warm, and there have not been more climate-disaster-related deaths.

There is also no evidence that reducing carbon dioxide emissions would affect the trend. That is a hypothesis based on models, which so far have failed.

Over the past 30 years, trillions have been spent on wind and solar, and the world’s dependence on hydrocarbon fuels has only decreased from 87% to 82%.

At the recent COP 28 in Dubai, chaired by Sultan al-Jaber, the chairman said that phasing out fossil fuels would send humanity back into caves. Nevertheless 100 countries promised to do it.

Additional information:

• Summary of important provisions in COP 28 final agreement and commentary by the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP, sepp.org)
• Commentary by Prof. Peter St Onge
• Reports from the NIPCC (Non-governmental International Panel on Climate Change)

We hear about deadlines for replacing gas stoves, cars with an ICE (internal combustion engine), and coal-fired electricity.  Campaigns are becoming more aggressive. The EU has an end-of-life vehicles directive that calls for seizing your car and scrapping it if it cannot meet climate directives. But global use of coal, oil, and natural gas is still increasing:

One problem for the greens is that wind and solar producers are struggling or going bankrupt. Another is NIMBY-type resistance from citizens. An insurmountable barrier is the requirement for metals vs. production capacity, as shown in the table below. In the U.S., it takes years to get a permit to open a copper mine because of environmental issues. There is only one rare-earths mine in the U.S. Ask your political candidates or Net-Zero advocates in your local government what they suggest doing about this.

Additional information:

• Defending your rights against wind and solar lobbyists
• Net Zero
• Fossil fuels required for wind turbine production
• Why can’t all states emulate California’s “clean energy” standards
• Energy storage requirements for “renewables”

As yet another “booster” dose of Covid vaccine is being rolled out, yet only 2 percent of Americans have opted to take it, a number of observations are being made:

• We are seeing frequent reports of “turbocancers”—tumors that are rare, unusually aggressive, or occurring at an unusually young age. The vaccine evidently suppresses a factor that suppresses tumor growth.
• “Shedding” appears to be a real phenomenon, in that symptoms may occur in persons exposed through skin contact with a vaccinated person up to 2 weeks post injection. The maximum seems to be in the first 48 hours.
• Microclotting has been observed in vaccine recipients through electron microscopic examination of the blood—a test that is not generally available.
• UK data shows enormous increases in excess early deaths in COVID jab recipients, which is greater with more injections.
• The whole rationale of mass vaccination against a growing number of diseases needs to be reexamined. We should instead be researching treatment methods, and prevention by strengthening health. Reportedly it was said that drug company profits could be significantly increased if the mean vitamin D3 level could be kept below 25 ng/mL.
• The general public is losing trust in American health institutions, after the COVID reversals and “mistakes,” in other areas such as cancer treatments, sepsis, infections, vaccinations, etc. These are now being looked at with a fresh skeptical perspective by researchers and the public and foreign countries who just used to rely on the U.S. for “science.”

Many politicians call for drastic reductions—on a very short deadline—in the use of coal and natural gas to generate electricity.

We know that this can be done because it has been done, as the graph shows.

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/1709667753098117213

Nuclear fuel has more energy per kilogram than any other fuel. A 100-watt light bulb can be lit for only 1.2 days on 1 kg wood, 3.8 days on 1 kg coal, 4.8 days on 1 kg oil, and 25,700 years on 1 kg uranium.

Since Germany has forsworn nuclear energy and has lost access to cheap Russian gas, and its Energiewende to wind and solar has proved so costly and unreliable, it is clear-cutting forests and mining lignite (the dirtiest form of coal) to keep warm, while deindustrializing.

            If the “Net Zero” forces were primarily concerned about reducing CO₂ emissions rather than some other agenda (destroying capitalism, impoverishing the U.S., reducing the human population, some other goal they do not wish to openly promote), should they not be advocates for nuclear energy?

Additional information:

• Robert Zubrin, The Case for Nukes: How We Can Create a Free, Open, and Magnificent Future, Doctors for Disaster Preparedness, 2023
• Stanford S. Penner, Nuclear  Energy for the Future, (2005)
• Bernard L. Cohen, Risks in Perspective, J Amer Phys Surg, summer 2003

I just heard on the radio that there was another month of record heat—so, we had best step up our climate emergency measures!

In fact, as the graph shows, the percentage of readings above 90 °F in the U.S. in August was well below normal—the 25^th lowest since 1895.

 So, what are our officials doing?

• Continuing to push for replacing our cars with electric vehicles—even though if all countries reached their EV goals by 2030, the reduction in CO₂ emissions would only reduce average global temperature by 0.0002 °C by 2100
• Canceling, by executive order, all remaining oil and gas leases issued by the previous Administration in the Arctic Refuge—in addition to restrictions on drilling and mining in Wyoming, Colorado, and the Gulf of Mexico

The world may become warmer, or cooler, without regard to U.S. or global emissions of CO₂, but your home might be very much colder in winter if you are unable to heat it. Be sure to include this in your emergency preparedness.

Mylar blankets and sleeping bags are much advertised. They have their uses—they are excellent reflectors of heat—but are not as miraculous as claimed. For expedient cold survival, see the chapter on improvised clothing and protective items in Nuclear War Survival Skills. As Steve Harris points out in the 2022 updated version (see below), newspaper and paper grocery bags may be hard to find these days, but notebook paper will work, as will foam filling from cushions and car seats. Be sure to have lots of large plastic trash bags!

Summer is over—not too soon to think about winter!

Additional information:

Updated Nuclear War Survival Skills

Can we all emulate California’s “clean energy” standards?

“The Fraud of Electric Cars,” lecture by Jay Lehr

“Shifting the Focus of Climate Change: From Warming to Cooling,” lecture by S. Fred Singer

Hurricane season is starting, bringing more remonstrances about our guilt for using “fossil fuels” and causing “climate change.”

The figure shows the path of the storms in the most active hurricane season in the U.S.—in 1886. Indianola, Texas, was wiped off the map.

The graph shows the trend over decades.

Would switching to electric vehicles help?

            A continuous increase in CO2 emissions from burning coal, oil, and natural gas has not been accompanied by an increase in violent storms. Your ICE (internal combustion engine) and millions of others are not guilty.

            A couple of cautions about EVs:

• Don’t use one as your evacuation vehicle. You might be stuck in traffic for a long time with nowhere to recharge.
• The power may be out at the recharging station.
• High storm surges are expected. And salt water flooding can turn a lithium battery into a “ticking time bomb.” Residual salt within the battery or battery components can form conductive “bridges” that can lead to short circuit and self-heating of the battery, resulting in fires. The time frame in which a damaged battery can ignite has been observed to vary widely, from days to weeks, according to the U.S. Fire Administration. Fires are extremely difficult to extinguish.

If you are in an area where a hurricane is predicted, be ready, and do not wait until the last second to evacuate.

• Have your ICE vehicle fueled and packed. Have your EV parked on high ground especially near a body of salt water.
• Even if you don’t expect to evacuate, stock up on things you need.
• Have plenty of light sources—candles, lanterns, flashlights, headlamps, and spare batteries.
• Have a radio that does not depend on the electric power grid to get weather and emergency reports.
• You can’t have too much clean water.

Additional information:

• Climate change IQ question 1: Would lowering atmospheric CO₂ prevent or mitigate hurricanes?
• Lessons from Hurricane Ian
• Lecture by world-class hurricane expert, the late William Gray

Do you worry about nuclear war?

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken says that the potential threat of nuclear war is no more dangerous than the “existential problem of climate change.”

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the hands of the Doomsday Clock forward to 90 s before midnight, reflecting what it considers the growing risk of nuclear war. And a number of medical journals, including Lancet and JAMA Network are simultaneously publishing articles that urge health professionals to alert the public and our leaders to the major danger to public health posed by nuclear weapons. The ultimate goal of International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW) and others is to eliminate nuclear weapons, and meanwhile to “urge all states involved in current conflicts to pledge publicly and unequivocally that they will not use nuclear weapons in these conflicts.”

Neither NATO nor Russia appears to be inclined to make such a pledge—instead, they remind each other of the threat as provocations escalate. Moreover, Russia is suspending a landmark nuclear arms control treaty and announcing that new strategic systems have been put on combat duty.

While another indictment of Donald Trump dominates U.S. news, world turmoil spreads. A military coup has occurred in Niger, the EU’s top supplier of uranium. Both Russia and China have significant interests in Africa. An explosion at a Russian uranium enrichment plant might have involved sabotage.

A summer blockbuster, Oppenheimer, has aroused more fears of nuclear fallout.

In case you hadn’t heard of it, a radiological emergency response effort is quietly being worked on by a complex array of U.S. federal agencies. Medical countermeasures for acute radiation sickness are being developed and stockpiled.

But efforts to prevent radiation exposure to civilians are self-help. Some fire departments are using the 60-second training card below—possibly the only nuclear training they receive. A simple safe/not safe monitor, which uses a chemical that changes color when exposed to ionizing radiation, is being offered to first responders by a private nonprofit, Physicians for Civil Defense and can be purchased.

Additional information:

• Arizona nuclear plan
• Civil defense promoted on cross-country bike ride