Climate Watch: How Is the Campaign to Replace ‘Fossil Fuels’ Going?

We hear about deadlines for replacing gas stoves, cars with an ICE (internal combustion engine), and coal-fired electricity.  Campaigns are becoming more aggressive. The EU has an end-of-life vehicles directive that calls for seizing your car and scrapping it if it cannot meet climate directives. But global use of coal, oil, and natural gas is still increasing:

One problem for the greens is that wind and solar producers are struggling or going bankrupt. Another is NIMBY-type resistance from citizens. An insurmountable barrier is the requirement for metals vs. production capacity, as shown in the table below. In the U.S., it takes years to get a permit to open a copper mine because of environmental issues. There is only one rare-earths mine in the U.S. Ask your political candidates or Net-Zero advocates in your local government what they suggest doing about this.

Additional information:

Medical News Discussion November 2023

As yet another “booster” dose of Covid vaccine is being rolled out, yet only 2 percent of Americans have opted to take it, a number of observations are being made:

  • We are seeing frequent reports of “turbocancers”—tumors that are rare, unusually aggressive, or occurring at an unusually young age. The vaccine evidently suppresses a factor that suppresses tumor growth.
  • “Shedding” appears to be a real phenomenon, in that symptoms may occur in persons exposed through skin contact with a vaccinated person up to 2 weeks post injection. The maximum seems to be in the first 48 hours.
  • Microclotting has been observed in vaccine recipients through electron microscopic examination of the blood—a test that is not generally available.
  • UK data shows enormous increases in excess early deaths in COVID jab recipients, which is greater with more injections.
  • The whole rationale of mass vaccination against a growing number of diseases needs to be reexamined. We should instead be researching treatment methods, and prevention by strengthening health. Reportedly it was said that drug company profits could be significantly increased if the mean vitamin D3 level could be kept below 25 ng/mL.
  • The general public is losing trust in American health institutions, after the COVID reversals and “mistakes,” in other areas such as cancer treatments, sepsis, infections, vaccinations, etc. These are now being looked at with a fresh skeptical perspective by researchers and the public and foreign countries who just used to rely on the U.S. for “science.”

Climate Watch: Can ‘Fossil Fuel’-Generated Electricity Be Replaced Quickly?

Many politicians call for drastic reductions—on a very short deadline—in the use of coal and natural gas to generate electricity.

We know that this can be done because it has been done, as the graph shows.

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/1709667753098117213

Nuclear fuel has more energy per kilogram than any other fuel. A 100-watt light bulb can be lit for only 1.2 days on 1 kg wood, 3.8 days on 1 kg coal, 4.8 days on 1 kg oil, and 25,700 years on 1 kg uranium.

Since Germany has forsworn nuclear energy and has lost access to cheap Russian gas, and its Energiewende to wind and solar has proved so costly and unreliable, it is clear-cutting forests and mining lignite (the dirtiest form of coal) to keep warm, while deindustrializing.

            If the “Net Zero” forces were primarily concerned about reducing CO2 emissions rather than some other agenda (destroying capitalism, impoverishing the U.S., reducing the human population, some other goal they do not wish to openly promote), should they not be advocates for nuclear energy?

Additional information:

Climate Watch: Crisis Talk after August Heat

I just heard on the radio that there was another month of record heat—so, we had best step up our climate emergency measures!

In fact, as the graph shows, the percentage of readings above 90 °F in the U.S. in August was well below normal—the 25th lowest since 1895.

 So, what are our officials doing?

The world may become warmer, or cooler, without regard to U.S. or global emissions of CO2, but your home might be very much colder in winter if you are unable to heat it. Be sure to include this in your emergency preparedness.

Mylar blankets and sleeping bags are much advertised. They have their uses—they are excellent reflectors of heat—but are not as miraculous as claimed. For expedient cold survival, see the chapter on improvised clothing and protective items in Nuclear War Survival Skills. As Steve Harris points out in the 2022 updated version (see below), newspaper and paper grocery bags may be hard to find these days, but notebook paper will work, as will foam filling from cushions and car seats. Be sure to have lots of large plastic trash bags!

Summer is over—not too soon to think about winter!

Additional information:

Updated Nuclear War Survival Skills

Can we all emulate California’s “clean energy” standards?

“The Fraud of Electric Cars,” lecture by Jay Lehr

“Shifting the Focus of Climate Change: From Warming to Cooling,” lecture by S. Fred Singer

Climate Watch: Could a Green New Deal Stop Idalia?

Hurricane season is starting, bringing more remonstrances about our guilt for using “fossil fuels” and causing “climate change.”

The figure shows the path of the storms in the most active hurricane season in the U.S.—in 1886. Indianola, Texas, was wiped off the map.

The graph shows the trend over decades.

Would switching to electric vehicles help?

            A continuous increase in CO2 emissions from burning coal, oil, and natural gas has not been accompanied by an increase in violent storms. Your ICE (internal combustion engine) and millions of others are not guilty.

            A couple of cautions about EVs:

  • Don’t use one as your evacuation vehicle. You might be stuck in traffic for a long time with nowhere to recharge.
  • The power may be out at the recharging station.
  • High storm surges are expected. And salt water flooding can turn a lithium battery into a “ticking time bomb.” Residual salt within the battery or battery components can form conductive “bridges” that can lead to short circuit and self-heating of the battery, resulting in fires. The time frame in which a damaged battery can ignite has been observed to vary widely, from days to weeks, according to the U.S. Fire Administration. Fires are extremely difficult to extinguish.

If you are in an area where a hurricane is predicted, be ready, and do not wait until the last second to evacuate.

  • Have your ICE vehicle fueled and packed. Have your EV parked on high ground especially near a body of salt water.
  • Even if you don’t expect to evacuate, stock up on things you need.
  • Have plenty of light sources—candles, lanterns, flashlights, headlamps, and spare batteries.
  • Have a radio that does not depend on the electric power grid to get weather and emergency reports.
  • You can’t have too much clean water.

Additional information:

WW III: Doomsday Clock at 90 Seconds to Midnight

Do you worry about nuclear war?

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken says that the potential threat of nuclear war is no more dangerous than the “existential problem of climate change.”

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the hands of the Doomsday Clock forward to 90 s before midnight, reflecting what it considers the growing risk of nuclear war. And a number of medical journals, including Lancet and JAMA Network are simultaneously publishing articles that urge health professionals to alert the public and our leaders to the major danger to public health posed by nuclear weapons. The ultimate goal of International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW) and others is to eliminate nuclear weapons, and meanwhile to “urge all states involved in current conflicts to pledge publicly and unequivocally that they will not use nuclear weapons in these conflicts.”

Neither NATO nor Russia appears to be inclined to make such a pledge—instead, they remind each other of the threat as provocations escalate. Moreover, Russia is suspending a landmark nuclear arms control treaty and announcing that new strategic systems have been put on combat duty.

While another indictment of Donald Trump dominates U.S. news, world turmoil spreads. A military coup has occurred in Niger, the EU’s top supplier of uranium. Both Russia and China have significant interests in Africa. An explosion at a Russian uranium enrichment plant might have involved sabotage.

A summer blockbuster, Oppenheimer, has aroused more fears of nuclear fallout.

In case you hadn’t heard of it, a radiological emergency response effort is quietly being worked on by a complex array of U.S. federal agencies. Medical countermeasures for acute radiation sickness are being developed and stockpiled.

But efforts to prevent radiation exposure to civilians are self-help. Some fire departments are using the 60-second training card below—possibly the only nuclear training they receive. A simple safe/not safe monitor, which uses a chemical that changes color when exposed to ionizing radiation, is being offered to first responders by a private nonprofit, Physicians for Civil Defense and can be purchased.

Additional information:

Climate Watch: Are We Having ‘Global Boiling’?

Are you doing your bit to “fight climate change”?

It’s not just heat waves—as in Phoenix, which just had a record number (31) of consecutive 110-degree days. UN Secretary General António Guterres says: “The era of global warming has ended, the era of global boiling has arrived.”

In Phoenix, it may feel like it, but other areas are having a cooling trend, and as the graph of satellite temperatures shows, the world is in a cooling trend, despite 600 billion tons of CO2 emissions in the last 11 years.

The UN IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) is still predicting warming, of 1.5 (not nearly 85!) °C, but its new chairman Jim Skea said “it was not helpful to imply” that such a change posed an “existential threat to humanity.”

Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) asks U.S. Special Envoy for Climate John Kerry how much global temperature would drop if we spent $100 trillion to reach zero emissions by 2050. Kerry could not answer. The effect would not be measurable. Your air conditioner, car, gas stove, and hot shower are making no difference whatsoever. Neither are Kerry’s junkets by private airplane, but why not stop his emissions first?

Additional information:

Climate Watch: Should We Worry about Heat Deaths?

I hope you are staying well-hydrated and protecting your skin from excess sun exposure. There are real dangers from heat exhaustion and skin cancer.

A graph published in the Lancet warned of the dangers of heat waves—but distorted the comparison between hot and cold temperatures by changing the units on the axis. There’s not unprecedented heat, so why the fearmongering?

If you are not able to sweat normally, there is an increased risk of heat exhaustion. Causes include skin or nervous system disorders, connective-tissue disease, and certain drugs, such as antidepressants and opioids.

Of course, you should wear protective clothing or use sunscreen if you will be heavily exposed to sunlight to reduce the risk of skin cancer. But some exposure is needed to make vitamin D.

Achieving “climate goals” such as increasing electric vehicles will not help. If every country in the world did this, the predicted decrease in average global temperature would be 0.0002 °F.

The calculation may not include increased carbon dioxide emissions from fires, such as the huge cargo ship fire in the North Sea caused by an EV. Some apartment buildings won’t allow you to park your EV in an underground garage. Such fires are extremely hard to control.

Pay attention to the other side of the graph: deaths from cold. Winter is coming!

If you are in an area where electrical outages may occur, do you have a generator? Note that new Biden regulations may make portable generators unaffordable or impossible to obtain. Do you have emergency blankets or sleeping bags, at home and in your car?

Preparations need to be made in advance. Remember that weather-dependent electrical generators don’t work in bad weather.

Additional information:

Improvised Clothing and Protective Gear. Chapter 15 in Nuclear War Survival Skills.

Climate Watch: Which Heat Record Should We Look at?

I hope your electric grid is able to meet the demand in this heat.

In response to my last dispatch, it was said “well it’s only one day” and “the increase is cumulative.” More graphs from Tony Heller’s exhaustive data set of dates and places:

Every temperature over 100 °F ever recorded at Yosemite National Park

Here’s a comparison of heat waves in 1936 and 2023:

And for a really long historical perspective from long, long before the Industrial Age:

Additional information:

The Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide, the petition signed by more than 31,000 scientists, and a searchable list of signatories: www.petitionproject.org.

Climate Watch: Are We Having Record Heat?

I hope you have electricity flowing to your air conditioner.

It’s summer, and it is hot in Tucson.

But as the graph shows, the summer of 2023 is cooler than usual.

Nonetheless, the climate change chorus claims that this summer is worse “in profound ways,” and there are computer models about hypothetical climate “tipping points”—not “documentation” of actual occurrence.

For perspective, Phoenix had 18 consecutive days of 110° temperatures in 1974, and Death Valley hit 134° in 1934. The six hottest July 19ths in the U.S. occurred in 1934, 1932, 1936, 1930, 1926 and 1901—when almost half of the US was over 95 °F (35 °C). Atmospheric CO2 levels were much lower then.

Every day, a new record is being set somewhere. If you have temperature stations at 10,000 locations and they have an average length of 100 years, then during a 100-day-long summer, you would expect to get about 10,000 daily maximum temperature records set.

What will happen to the climate if we spend trillions of dollars and turn off 80 percent of the world’s energy supply (“fossil fuels”)? Will the constantly postponed predicted climate crisis be averted? Will the global average temperature drop a fraction of a degree, as computer models predict? Will you feel cooler at 109.9 than at 110°?

What will happen to you without adequate electricity to cool—or heat—your home? Or without gasoline or diesel-powered vehicles? (Note that heat waves can cook electric car batteries too.)

Additional information: