World War III: What about the Drones?

I hope you are preparing for a beautiful family Christmas celebration.

But are you up at night worrying about the drones?

Reports of mysterious objects and lights in the sky are pouring in, especially from New Jersey, but also from all over the U.S. and UK. And from some other places in the world, such as the U.S. base in Ramstein, Germany. Some of them are said to be drones.

U.S. government spokespersons have said that the investigation is ongoing, and so far no threats have been detected. Most sightings were cases of mistaken identities of lawful aircraft. Testimony from the FBI and Justice Department state that there are “gaps in legal authorities,” and officials call for  legislation giving yet more authority to the government. The official response could be a clever attempt to calm us down while seizing even more power. It could involve denial of secret military activities. It is far from being confidence inspiring.

Not surprisingly, there are lots of calls to “shoot them down”—whatever they are.

It is always good to ask: Why now? Who benefits?

What is indisputably happening now is that there are many serious problems worldwide, and the drones are a major distraction. One possible result is panic that may give more power to government, may restrict the rights of the public to use drones, may reshape the airline industry (like COVID-19 reshaped the retail industry), and may even provide the excuse to start a war (like the “weapons of mass destruction” rumors justifying the Iraq war).  Also, a new Administration is being inaugurated on Jan. 20—an event various forces would like to prevent.

Here are some established facts:

  • Both unjustified  mass panics and real governmental conspiracies have occurred.
  • London’s Gatwick airport was shut down for 3 days in December 2018, ruining Christmas for 140,000 passengers, because of reports of drones that never existed.
  • Many countries have sophisticated drones, including Iran, Russia, Ukraine, and China. They use them for attacking enemies. Why use them to make a light show in New Jersey? If they are seeking surveillance of sensitive military facilities, in addition to their intelligence from satellites, balloons, and spies, why attract attention, and why do it at night?
  • Keeping something aloft and moving requires an energy source, which produces heat. That heat should be detected by available methods.
  • Objects must be launched and landed. Can they not be tracked by modern radar and similar technologies?
  • Before AI became reality, drones required a pilot on the ground, using electronic signaling. Can the signals not be tracked or jammed, as is happening on the battlefield? Has AI become developed enough that despite current criticism it is now trusted to pilot large drones?
  • There are laws of physics, and things that are impossible, like in magic shows, are tricks or illusions—unless we are dealing with a civilization that has conquered gravity and other natural forces, which they are for some reason choosing to exhibit over New Jersey in December 2024.
  • Some of the objects display FAA-compliant lighting, suggesting that they may be either legally operating aircraft or objects disguised to look like that.
  • Mysterious aerial phenomena have been observed since the 1600s if not earlier.
  • Concerns about stolen nuclear weapons have been around for decades. The Nuclear Emergency Support Team (NEST) has been active for half a century. International agencies have been working on updated systems for their detection, especially in transport such as in container ships. However, radioactive material can be well shielded, and the level of radiation decreases with the square of the distance.

We need physical evidence, not just blurry photos, official opinions, and speculation—possibly an SUV-sized drone that crashed or that was followed until it landed. Meanwhile, we don’t know what is really happening—maybe more than one thing.  But most important is not to panic. Panic is never helpful and usually a disaster.

As H.L. Mencken said, “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”

Concealed nuclear weapons are not imaginary, but if deeply buried years ago, their position might be revealed by detonation. In that case you need instruments at hand that can detect radiation levels that are immediately harmful, not ultrasensitive instruments on a drone somewhere. Those who educated themselves and made preparations are far more likely to survive.

Additional information:

To measure radiation that affects you, obtain a suitable instrument.

World War III: Before January 20?

I hope you have a wonderful Thanksgiving—without a nuclear attack.

The high threat level is not mentioned by Google News, but Germany is drawing up plans to use Metro stations as air-raid shelters, NATO has warned businesses to enter “wartime scenario,” and Sweden and Finland are distributing pamphlets on expedient shelter and the need to stockpile emergency supplies.

Former weapons inspector Scott Ritter has issued a dire warning that we are on the threshold of nuclear war.

As the graph below shows, the Russians are making steady advances in Ukraine. In response, NATO/Ukraine is attacking targets inside Russia.

The Biden Administration has authorized the use of long-range ATACMs, which cannot be launched by Ukraine without substantial U.S. assistance. British Storm Shadow missiles have also struck Russia. In retaliation, Russia attacked the Dnipro Yuzhmash aerospace manufacturing facility with a newly developed hypersonic Oreshnik intermediate range ballistic missile. Witness accounts say the underground working part of the facility was turned into dust. This suggests that the Oreshnik submunitions crashed at hypersonic speed into the workshops and simply pulverized them. There was no particular need for high explosives to do the job. NATO has no means to stop such a missile.

Putin has updated Russian nuclear doctrine. Triggers include some actions that the U.S./NATO has already taken or contemplated.

According to Tucker Carlson, the U.S. has approved the use of anti-personnel mines against Russian troops. Reportedly, U.S. officials have discussed giving nuclear weapons to Ukraine.

Could the out-going Administration use the lame-duck period before January 20 to commit the nation to war while it still has the power to do so?

Thinking about the possibility is the first step to preparedness.

Additional Information:

World War III: Russian Nuclear Doctrine Revised

Have you wondered what the candidates for President think about Vladimir Putin’s statement to the UN Security Council?

“President Vladimir Putin warned the West on Wednesday that Russia could use nuclear weapons if it was struck with conventional missiles, and that Moscow would consider any assault on it supported by a nuclear power to be a joint attack,” according to a press release by Vladimir Soldatkin and Guy Faulconbridge.

This occurs in the context of Ukrainian demands for permission to use U.S. or NATO-supplied long-range missiles to strike targets deep within Russian territory.

“This will mean that NATO countries, the U.S. and European countries are at war with Russia,” Putin said. “And if this is so, then, bearing in mind the change in the very essence of this conflict, we will make appropriate decisions based on the threats that will be created for us.” Putin added that the Ukrainian army does not have the ability to program long-range missiles or the satellite data necessary for their targeting, relying on NATO military personnel for those tasks.

In his debate with Kamala Harris, Donald Trump said he wanted the Ukraine-Russia war to stop. In her address to the Democratic Party convention in August, Harris said that she “will stand strong with Ukraine and our NATO allies.”

 According to the TCN Morning Note of Sep 26, this is “our most dangerous moment since the Cuban missile crisis.” Tucker Carlson references a report about a House Oversight Committee investigation on whether the recent trip by Ukraine president Zelensky misused government funds to support the Harris campaign.

There is no mention of the nuclear war threat on Google News, which covers Hurricane Helene, the indictment of New York Mayor Eric Adams, Covid vaccine, and Diddy, continuing the policy of do-it-yourself nuclear war preparedness.

Additional information:

Physicians for Civil Defense

Climate Watch: Unprecedented High Temperatures?

I hope you are able to find a respite from the heat. We’ve had “excessive heat” warnings in Tucson for several days straight.

But as the graph shows, it is not unprecedented. U.S. maximum temperatures in June 1933 were higher. Of course, one can argue that it was just “weather” then, owing to Dust Bowl conditions, but it is “climate change” now. (Note that connecting two points, as in the graph, does not make a trend. The direction of a trend depends on the starting and stopping points. If we started in 1776, near the end of the Little Ice Age, it is definitely warmer now.)

The mean of maximum U.S. temperatures as guesstimated by NOAA has been fluctuating between about 78 and 86 degrees F. Many factors contribute to these differences of about 8 degrees. The gradual small rise in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide has nothing to do with them.

Heat waves are a serious problem for people who live in cities. The urban heat island (UHI) effect can raise temperatures 10 or more degrees above what they would be in the countryside. Increasing urbanization likely accounts for 40 percent of reported warming. The ways to mitigate it do not involve reducing “carbon footprints.” Increasing green spaces, rooftop gardens, reflective roofing materials, and permeable pavements are helpful measures.

Looking at global rather than U.S. temperatures in the graph below, we see that there is a big spike in 2024. This is explained by the 2022 eruption of the underwater volcano Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai, which injected an unprecedented amount of water vapor, from 146 trillion grams (40 billion gallons) of water, into the stratosphere. This is equal to about 10 percent of the water vapor normally present there. Water vapor is by far the most important “greenhouse gas.”

Local factors and natural phenomena affect the weather and the climate—while the mainstream media only reports  about carbon dioxide, which is at most a minor contributor.

Additional information:

WW III: Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) Doctrine Being Tested

Over the noise about the Trump guilty verdict, have you seen any reports about developments in the Russia/Ukraine war?

As Russia continues to make slow progress on the ground, longer-range weapons are being supplied to Ukraine, along with proposals to strike targets within Russia. The defense minister of the Netherlands said that Ukraine could use the F-16s it sends in any way it likes.

The top map shows the location of Russian early warning system (EWS) radars and the area over which they can detect an incoming ballistic missile. The lower one shows the area covered by two installations that were reportedly attacked. At least one is said to be out of action awaiting repairs.

A degraded EWS leaves a country subject to a decapitating strike. Cold War doctrine calls for a devastating response, which has so far not materialized. But against what? NATO is maintaining plausible deniability.

Ascending the escalatory ladder without dire consequences so far “has led to a situation where many western decision-makers sincerely believe they can act with impunity, totally disregarding Russian warnings, while considering the likelihood of nuclear war an impossibility.”

The U.S. has no system to destroy nuclear warheads about to impact an American city. The batteries of Nike missiles that used to ring cities in the 1950s (the Nike-Hercules was nuclear-tipped) were all decommissioned.

The Soviet Union did not abandon anti-ballistic missile defense using nuclear warheads. In 2001, Russia was said to have a de facto missile-defense network with at least 8,000 modern interceptors, tipped with small nuclear warheads that do not require bullet-hitting-bullet accuracy. As of 2020, there were plans to double the firepower capabilities of the system defending Moscow.

There are many unknowns about Russian and U.S. capabilities, and the long-lasting MAD doctrine credited with keeping the peace for decades is being challenged.

Presidential candidate Donald Trump said that nuclear annihilation is the real threat, in commenting on President Joe Biden’s recent speech, in which he said global warming posed the “greatest existential threat to our country.” Neither candidate is talking about strategic or civil defense. The Biden Administration has authorized Ukraine to use U.S. weapons for “limited” strikes within Russia.

Additional Information: D.I.Y. Civil Defense

WW III: Is Nuclear Escalation Imminent?

I hope you are having a nice Memorial Day, celebrating the beginning of summer.  But do not forget that Memorial Day is about those who fell in war.

Americans tend to think that war is “Over There.” And that nuclear war is unthinkable, but if it happened, they erroneously think that it would inevitably wipe us out so there is nothing to do.

Some current events to consider:

On another front, there is grave concern that Iran could develop a nuclear weapon “in a few years.” What if it already has a few? It has nuclear friends—and no one knows for sure what happened to all of the Soviet stockpile. It’s possible that the threat of exploding a nuke hidden in a world capital is a deterrent strategy.

Some use of a nuclear weapon, by accident or design, appears likely. No matter where it happens, worldwide radiation panic could ensue. Inform yourself about radiation effects. It’s best to have your own radiation monitor. The safe/not safe radiation detector card—retail price $45—will  be unobtainable once the panic starts. The best use for limited supplies is to equip first responders NOW. Ten can be obtained free for first responders who request them on organization letterhead (http://www.ki4u.com/products1.php).

Additional information:

WW III: Ground Zero. Population: 5

Are you more worried about climate change than nuclear war? In a Washington Post op-ed, George Will observes that negligible public anxiety accompanies the intensifying danger of global incineration from nuclear war.

Like most commentators, Will assumes that the only possible outcome after the first salvo is global extinction. He refers to journalist Annie Jacobsen’s March 2024 book Nuclear War: a Scenario. This revives the 1980s climate catastrophe theory of nuclear winter.

Continue reading “WW III: Ground Zero. Population: 5”

Climate Watch: Causes of Climate Change

I hope that your spring is delightful, but are you worried about approaching summer heat? Do you plan to turn on air conditioning?

Many localities are pressing on with costly “green” initiatives, based on the alleged certainty of impending man-made warming crisis. The experts are claiming, with great confidence, a sudden increase in our understanding of climate, as the graph shows.

Climate change is not new, but has occurred throughout earth’s history, with dramatic changes in recorded history that had profound effects on human civilization. The graph shows reconstructions from a Greenland ice sheet. Of course, this is from just one location.

Al Gore and others present graphs of temperature together with carbon dioxide concentrations. They both go up and down. If we assume that a CO2 increase caused a temperature rise, an obvious question is: What caused the change in CO2? All the “don’t knows” could apply to that question. What we DO know is that it was NOT from burning coal or driving gasoline or diesel-powered vehicles before the Industrial Revolution.

It is a fact that more CO2 dissolves in cold water than warm water. Watch your carbonated beverage outgas as it warms. The changes in CO2 observed from ice cores agree with the amount expected from calculations of ocean outgassing with warming. Also, the rise in temperature comes BEFORE the increase in atmospheric CO2 levels. Hence, the causal connection is that increasing temperature leads to increasing CO2, not the other way around.

What caused the rise in temperature in Greenland? Don’t know.

Have the natural forces (solar irradiance, orbital changes, ocean currents, etc.) that caused past warming become irrelevant, so that changing the human-caused CO2 emissions thermostat will be the only decisive factor? I don’t think so, and neither do 32,000 other scientists.

Do you know what will happen to global temperatures and hurricanes and other weather events if you refrain from using A/C or driving your ICE (internal combustion engine)? Exactly nothing. What would happen if everybody in the world lived as virtuously as UN Agenda 2030 demands? Don’t know? Or exactly nothing? It is a purely hypothetical question.

We DO know what the Green agenda would bring: mass poverty and starvation. That is not hypothetical.

Additional information:

Climate Watch: Why Not Wind and Solar Now?

I hope you are not experiencing a power blackout during Arctic cold.

Such circumstances are chilling public support for an energy transition.

Climate-change policy advocates may claim that “renewables” (wind and solar) are not only clean but great for the economy. The only thing lacking, they say, is the “political will” to oppose the “fossil fuel” lobby.

Actually, there is a huge dollars-and-cents issue, as the figure shows.

Solar panels for your house or in decentralized applications might be affordable, and the fuel is free. But when the cost of integration into a centralized system is taken into account, wind costs between 7 and 14 times more than hydrocarbons, and solar between 10 and 44 times more, according to economist Peter St Onge.

Then there’s the effect of weather on weather-dependent systems, at times of increased demand.

On Jan 14, 93.6% of Alberta’s energy was produced by hydrocarbons (“fossils”) and 0% by wind or solar. To replace Alberta’s hydrocarbon generating capacity would require 11,043 wind turbines 727,615 acres of solar panels.

In June, the “hail-proof” solar panels at a multi-million dollar, 5.2 megawatt solar farm in Scottsbluff, Nebraska were mostly destroyed by baseball-sized hail moving at 100 to 150 miles per hour. The region has some of the highest frequencies of hailstorms in the country, averaging seven to nine hailstorms per year. Yet, the area is still building solar plants, driven by federal and state incentives to deploy renewable energy.

Political candidates and climate activist groups should be asked specific questions about costs, weather damage, environmental impacts, and waste disposal.

Additional information:

Medical News Discussion December 2023

From the meeting of the public health committee of the Pima County Medical Foundation:

Update on COVID-19 vaccines:

  • DNA contamination of COVID vaccines is discussed in the winter issue of the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons (https://jpands.org/vol28no4/orient.pdf).
  • Dr. Steven Hatfill’s article on the need for accountability concerning the U.S. pandemic response appears in the same issue (https://jpands.org/vol28no4/hatfill.pdf). Dr. Hatfill just spoke at the COVID summit in Bucharest, Romania. He viewed Dr. Ryan Cole’s pathology slides showing severe Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease post-vaccination, and he fears that prion disease may turn out to be a late complication of COVID vaccines.
  • Dr. James Gruhl reported on recent articles about frameshifting in protein synthesis owing to the pseudouridine in vaccine mRNA (for which the Nobel Prize was recently awarded). The consequences are unknown, but could occur late.

Update on nuclear war:

  • The December issue of Scientific American concerns updating the U.S. nuclear arsenal.
  • The effects of low-dose radiation are greatly overstated.
  • Proposed “Sacrifice Zones”—using upgraded land-based missiles as a “sponge” to absorb a Russian strike is an obsolete, likely impossible idea—the most credible threat is bombs planted by terrorists in key Western cities as a deterrent to retaliation.
  • Casualties could be minimized by knowledge and preparedness and maximized by panic and disinformation.
  • See https://www.ddponline.org/2024/01/04/nuclear-scaremongering/#more-1139 for references and further information.