D.I.Y. COVID MEDICINE

Doctors for Disaster Preparedness Newsletter | Vol. XXXVI, No. 5

No, Doctors for Disaster Preparedness does not recommend do-it-yourself medicine.

You should have a physician who knows you and is available to advise you—confidentially. Fewer and fewer people are so fortunate. Most are enrolled in a “health plan” and have an assigned “healthcare provider.” Even if the provider has an M.D., evaluation and management may be determined by the drop-down menus in the electronic health record. The EHR will follow you everywhere, tracking your history and compliance—some even have electronic “sticky notes” to flag potentially disruptive patients who have a politically incorrect attitude.

Corporate medicine has been adamantly opposed to early home treatment of COVID-19, and employed physicians deviate from that policy at their peril. Hospitals, clinics, and most of “organized medicine,” including the AMA and the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA), will cite “the science” as determined by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

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Expedient Medicine

Doctors for Disaster Preparedness Newsletter | Vol. XXXVI, No. 4

Between the date on the masthead and the time of this writing (January 2021), events have moved at a breathtaking speed. With a foot-high pile of selected articles on COVID-19 waiting to be read, I’d like to pause for historical perspective.

DDP was founded in the early 1980s, when medical journals were full of articles on the “bomb run,” the effects of a nuclear attack on one or more American cities: death and destruction, the few remaining medical facilities overwhelmed, environmental contamination, panic, and despair (hope to be at Ground Zero, kiss yourself good-by, etc.).

At that time, during the Cold War, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) still had an Office of Civil Defense and remnants of a civilian nuclear defense program. DDP and The American Civil Defense Association (TACDA) promoted these programs, and FEMA officials spoke at our meetings. There were home shelter displays.

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Election 2020: Biden-Harris Energy Promises

Biden and Harris have promised to fight climate catastrophe by transitioning to “clean, renewable” energy. Can they do it? And what would happen if they did?

The magnitude of the problem is shown in the pie chart below.

How could wind and solar, currently supplying 3 percent of the world’s energy, grow to replace the 85 percent supplied by coal, oil, and natural gas?

The percentage could be increased by drastically reducing total energy, as by getting rid of “fossil fuels.” The federal government could conceivably shut down coal mining, fracking, off-shore drilling, refineries, and pipelines—within the U.S., and then ban imports.

In his ABC town hall, Joe Biden said, “There are well over 100,000 [gas?] wells that are left uncapped in the region [Pennsylvania?]. We could hire 128,000 of these people who are working in the industry to cap these wells and get a good salary doing it now, number one.”

We can’t get to 100 percent renewables by 2030 as promised by the Green New Deal, he said. We must transition to a “place where we get to net zero emission including in agriculture. I’ve laid out a detailed plan…. “We can do things like pelletize all the chicken manure and all the horse manure and cow manure and they can be—and take out the methane and use it as fertilizer and make a lot of money doing it.”

What can we learn from other countries that are far ahead of us in renewables? Germany generates more than 30 percent of its electricity from renewables. South Australia has a 50 percent renewable energy generation target for 2025, getting around 40 percent of its electricity currently from intermittent renewables such as wind. What has happened?

  • Germany has among the highest electricity prices in the world (3 times those in the U.S.).
  • In South Australia, rates have frequently hit above $10/kWh (cf $0.12 in U.S. and $0.35 in Germany). Cold weather caused prices to rise 100-fold.
  • Energy-intensive industry is relocating to Asian countries that have reliable, affordable power.
  • Brownouts and blackouts can result when intermittent sources generate too much or too little power, causing expensive equipment to fail at industrial facilities. Last year, Germany paid wind farms $548 million to switch off in order to prevent damage to the country’s electric grid.

For more information on the Green New Deal: Civil Defense Perspectives, January 2019.

Radiation Treatment for COVID

DDP Newsletter – Vol. XXXVI, No. 2

The “silver bullet” of antibiotics seemed to herald the conquest of infectious diseases, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) shifted its focus to noninfectious “epidemics” such as cancer and heart diseases. But with the rise of multiply resistant bacteria as well as the ever-present threat of viral diseases, we might soon be living in the post-antibiotic era. We need to review methods from the pre-antibiotic era, which rapidly lost favor after the discovery of penicillin.

In 1892, William Osler wrote that lobar pneumonia “is a self-limited disease and runs its course uninfluenced in any way by medicine. It can be neither aborted, nor cut short by any known means at our disposal.” By 1913, leaders at the Rockefeller Institute initiated equine serum therapy for the treatment of pneumonia. Two decades later, mortality from lobar pneumonia was 25%–40% in patients not receiving serum, but 10%–20% in those who received this therapy. While the treatment was a major advance, it was expensive, time-consuming, needed to be matched to the serotype of the bacteria, and limited by allergic reactions to horse or other serum. Serum therapy was soon eliminated after the introduction of sulfonamides in 1939.

X-irradiation began to emerge as an alternative to the therapeutic monopoly of serum treatments in the 1930s. Edward Calabrese and Gaurav Dhawan (Yale J Biol Med 2013;86:555-570, tinyurl.com/s7ua856) trace its history, beginning with the first report in 1905. Radiotherapy (RT) was broadly accepted early in the 20th century, with notable successes in the treatment of many inflammatory and infectious diseases such as gas gangrene, carbuncles, sinusitis, arthritis, and inner ear infections.

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Beware of Marijuana Initiative, Doctors Warn

You have probably heard the claim that marijuana is less harmful than tobacco or alcohol.

                We might find out that this is not true with more widespread use of more potent product. Too late? Arizona Prop 207, which legalizes marijuana and hashish, will be virtually impossible to change once it passes. A “yes” vote turns all 17 pages into law.

                Dangers of marijuana that you might not have heard about include:

  • Serious mental illness: Teenagers who smoke marijuana regularly are about three times as likely to develop schizophrenia. And 27% of people with schizophrenia had been diagnosed with cannabis use disorder, according to a 2010 review.
  • Violent behavior: Despite its reputation for making users relaxed and calm, cannabis appears to provoke some patients to violence. In a Swiss study of 265 psychotic patients, young men with psychosis who used cannabis had a 50% chance of becoming violent over a 3-year period.
  • Lowered IQ: Marijuana harms brain development, which is not complete until the early 20s. There was an average drop of 8 IQ points between age 13 and 38 in heavy users in teen and adult years, compared with no drop in never-users. There is a significant decrease in verbal memory for each 5 years of cannabis use, accompanied by a decreased size of working memory areas of the brain shown on functional MRI.
  • Birth defects: A spectrum of neurologic impairments is seen, including some that mimic autism, and many heart and gastrointestinal anomalies may occur. Marijuana lingers in the system months after use is stopped. The father’s use may also harm the baby.
  • Cancer: Marijuana contains more tar and carcinogens than tobacco, and marijuana smokers tend to inhale more deeply and for a longer period.
  • Impaired driving: Marijuana’s effects include distorted perceptions and impaired reaction time, attention span, and judgment. Users have a doubled risk of involvement in an auto crash.
  • Cardiovascular disease: Users have an increased risk of stroke (26%), heart failure (10%), and sudden cardiac death.

Were West Coast Wildfires Caused by Climate Change?

I hope that you and yours are safe. My friends are fighting fires trying to cross the firebreaks around their home with hoes and shovels as well as water.

Meanwhile, fiery political darts are being hurled at producers of fossil fuels, users (that includes all of us), and politicians who resist a Green New Deal. Joe Biden called President Trump a “climate arsonist.”

Has climate change produced conditions leading to “unprecedented” fires? Did CO2 emissions cause the change? And can it be stopped by reducing those emissions?

The COVID-19 lockdowns have hinted at what a drastic change would be needed to get to “net zero.” With automobile traffic cut in half in April, and air traffic virtually halted for months, CO2 emissions were down only 8 percent—and more than 600,000 people were out of work.

Before prescribing a still more drastic remedy, let’s consider the diagnosis:

1. The fires are not unprecedented. The figure below shows that acreage burned was much greater in the early 20th century.

2. Wildfires are affected by many variables:

  • Sun’s variations and earth-sun orbital variation
  • Extraterrestrial impacts such as meteorites
  • Lightning
  • Fuel loads
  • Animal grazing
  • Climate: rainfall + temperature
  • Human activities: soil condition, land use, controlled burning, arson

We could change forest management practices NOW. Reducing CO2 emissions to zero MIGHT reduce temperature by 0.05 degrees Celsius by 2050.

Masking

DDP News – Vol. XXXVI, No. 1

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, face masks for the public have been advocated or required in various places in the world, but the demands to force everybody, even children, to comply in the U.S. have become frenzied as this is being written in early July.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) floated the thought that the epidemic might be over, as all-cause mortality had peaked and returned to normal. But then surges of “cases” were reported in Florida and the border states of California, Arizona, and Texas—along with a surge in testing. A “case” is a person with a positive test, even if apparently well. Governors were criticized for re-opening too soon, and began forcing still-surviving businesses such as gyms to close. And various jurisdictions began to impose mask requirements.

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COVID-19 Protection

DDP Newsletter – May, 2020, Vol. XXXVI, No. 3

Many people’s lives are dominated these days by concerns about the coronavirus pandemic. Many refuse to go anywhere if not absolutely necessary. Some “quarantine” or disinfect their groceries, and shower and wash their clothing after doing an errand. Are the masks, “social distancing,” and obsessive-compulsive behaviors necessary—or protective?   Evidence for benefit from the drastic measures is nonexistent to thin. There are many unknowns, but some observations can be made:

If there is coronavirus in the vicinity, you have some on you. In an unpublished experiment, a harmless chemical compound resembling material found in viral coats was radioactively tagged and applied near the mouth or on the palm of two “spreaders.” They carried on normal social interactions with several test subjects who were doing library research—talking, looking at papers, etc. The subjects washed their hands frequently. At the end of several hours, all had radioactively tagged material on face, hands, and clothing.

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DDP 2020- Registration Open

We are pleased to announce we have received official word from the South Point Hotel and Casino that they will reopen on June 4 and will be able to host the DDP meeting in August!

Links to register and make your hotel reservation can be found below.

Unfortunately we have learned that Front Sight Firearms Training Institute will be closed until September 1 due to restrictions imposed by the Nevada Governor, so our plans to return to the facility for defense training will be delayed until another year.  Also at this point our efforts to organize an alternate group tour have been met with too much uncertainty to proceed with holding an optional group activity this year.

You may register for the meeting HERE
Make your hotel reservation HERE 
Deadline for this group rate is July 20.


Saturday and Sunday (August 15 & 16) will be two days full of presentations you won’t want to miss, from an all-star lineup of speakers that will include: Willie Soon, Ph.D.; Melanie Sturm, Jerry Cuttler, D.Sc.; Mark Morano; Steve Hatfill, M.D.; Lee Hieb Merritt, M.D.; Joe Leimkuhler; Shane Connor; Art Robinson, Ph.D.; David Legates, Ph.D.; Howard Hayden, Ph.D.; William Happer, Ph.D.; Chris Farrell, Steve Harris, and More!

The complete speaker roster will be announced in near future but we assure you, you won’t want to miss it. 

Friday evening (August 14) from 7pm to 9pm the meeting will officially kick off with the welcome reception where you can eat, drink, meet, and network with speakers and attendees. The meeting will adjourn by 5pm on Sunday August 16. 

We look forward to seeing you all in Las Vegas! 

Coronavirus Can’t Be Tracked in U.S. without More Testing

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) states that the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is “NOT currently spreading in the community in the United States,” but that it is an “emerging, rapidly evolving situation.”

“It is impossible to be sure that the virus is not spreading without more extensive testing,” stated Jane M. Orient, M.D., president of Doctors for Disaster Preparedness. Testing for COVID-19 has been restricted to “persons under suspicion” (PUIs), that is persons with fever, signs of a lower respiratory infection, and a history of travel to China or exposure to a person known to have COVID-19 or travel to China within 14 days of symptom onset.

The CDC has now liberalized the criteria: “For severely ill individuals, testing can be considered when exposure history is equivocal (e.g., uncertain travel or exposure, or no known exposure) and another etiology has not been identified.” The availability of test kits is limited, and “performance issues” were identified in the manufacturing of one of the reagents, so these will need to be replaced.

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